EU’s Future from two sides

in EN · Europe 2018 · Germany 2018 · Nation 2018 · Politics 2018 · Skepticism 2018 · YOUTUBE 2018 31 views / 5 comments
          
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Balkans     Danube      Germany      Europe

GEOMETR.IT  Stratfor

 

* Forecasting global trends and developments can prove challenging even when you have the best information available

Stratfor leverages the study of applied geopolitics, tools of intelligence analysis and public report cards on our work to constantly improve our forecasting process. The team at Good Judgement Inc. seeks to directly quantify their forecasts with numerical probability assessments.

In this episode of the Stratfor Podcast, we’re joined by Good Judgement’s Philip Tetlock and Warren Hatch as well as Stratfor’s Rodger Baker and Mark Fleming-Williams to explore how qualitative insight and quantitative rigor can be applied in unison to improve forecasting of global developments. This is part of a larger collaboration between Stratfor and Good Judgement as we explore the future of European integration.

Read our latest analysis on this topic and more at Stratfor Worldview. If you’re not already a Worldview member, you can subscribe today

 

The publication is not an editorial. It reflects solely the point of view and argumentation of the author. The publication is presented in the presentation. Start in the previous issue. The original is available at: Stratfor

 

GEOMETR.IT

5 Comments

  1. This may result in the near term in waning responsibilities to security concepts and human rights among several nations, even as many individuals and smaller groups advocate for ideas through platforms, venues, and institutions.

  2. The post-World War II international order that enabled today’s political, economic, and security arrangements and institutions is in question as power diffuses worldwide, shuffling seats at the table of global decision making.

  3. Norms that were believed to be settled will be increasingly threatened if present trends hold, and consensus to build standards can be elusive as Russia, China, along with other actors such as ISIL seek to shape regions and international norms in their favor. Some features of the evolving global order are apparent:

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